• Work with grain growers to identify key risks to grain production
• Calibrate decision support tools such as Flowering Calculator and Potential Yield Calculator for South Australia and Victoria
• Develop a framework to compare the trade-off in sowing time between drought risk and frost risk

The Grains Research & Development Corporation (GRDC) 

Melissa Rebbeck

• To distil key practical and methodological features of economic and psychological approaches to valuing SCF
• To estimate the potential economic value of SCF for farm and policy or industry level case studies in the Philippines and Australia
• To identify those factors leading to a gap between actual and potential values of SCF
• Develop and implement strategies to better match forecasts with decision maker's needs 

Australian Centre for International Agricultural Research (ACIAR)  

NSW Department of Primary Industries and Sydney University

Peter Hayman and Bronya Alexander

• Conduct and develop climate risk workshops for farmers and adviser in SA
• Provide a fee for service information service for farmers and advisers in SA

Self funding

Melissa Rebbeck

• Generate climate change scenarios from the CSIRO MK3 global climate model
• Link the output from the GCM to the wheat simulation model APSIM
• Conduct a risk analysis of drought and crop failure

Australian Research Council (ARC) Linkage Grant with University of Adelaide
 

Peter Hayman

• Evaluate the usefulness of SCF trigger points for grain growers in SA and produce a booklet and workshop to deliver outcomes
• Evaluate the impact of climate change and its impact on grain production in SA and produce a workshop to deliver outcomes

The South Australian Grains Industry Trust

Melissa Rebbeck

• Characterisation of synoptic rainfall mechanisms in SE Australia
• Establish a relationship between synoptic rainfall mechanisms and the large space-scale atmospheric and ocean circulation
• Quantum leap in understanding seasonal climate drivers in SE Australia
• Collate and update information about management responses to climate information for three rainfall regions in SE Australia relevant to the grains industry
• Ongoing engagements with farmers groups in the three regions throughout the project to maintain a practical focus, to obtain real-time climate response input, to educate key farmer groups in climate and climate/ management interactions, and to ground-truth potential forecast/ management response options

SARDI, CSIRO

Melissa Rebbeck

• Identify the times of the year that seasonal forecasts of rainfall and pasture production have statistical skill
• Work with wool growers to identify the key decision nodes that have an impact on production and degradation risk
• Produce a Seasonal Climate Forecast (SCF) pocket guide for wool growers

Land, Water & Wool

Melissa Rebbeck

• Work with Peter Carberry, CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems
• To work with MCVP and Grains Research & Development Corporation (GRDC) to develop a sub-program level (across 4 project) communication plan at regional and national level
• To communicate learning between the 4 projects
• To assist communication plans within each project
• To benchmark the current knowledge and application of climate risk information and tools within the Australian cropping zones
• To support the four MCVP projects in designing evaluation methods and actions which both guide their ongoing project activities and document their on-ground impacts
• To conduct a program-level analysis of the summative impacts of the four individual projects conducted over the coming three years

MCVP, GRDC

Peter Hayman

• Collaborative effort between Vic DPI, NSW DPI and SARDI
• Increased and more stable economic performance of South-Eastern Australian farming systems through the development of tools that integrate seasonal climate forecasts, climate variability and management options
• Value of forecasting tools for seasonal rainfall and temperatures quantified and documented for specific locations of the main cropping areas of South Eastern Australia
• Increased farmers awareness and use of climate forecasting tools
• Current risk management tools assessed and new simple tools developed and assessed

SARDI, GRDC

Peter Hayman

• This project addresses Natural Resources Management (NRM) decision-making and planning in an uncertain climate
• A draft document - the SA MDB Farmer's and Natural Resources Manager's guides to climate change and variability
• At least 4 analyses of case studies which detail the problem mapped out as a decision tree, an analytical solution to the decision tree and how that might change under climate change and the response of decision makers
• An overall summary of the successes and barriers to decision makers using the information
• A final version of the SA MDB guides to climate change and variability
• A review of the document and recommendations to the Department of Water, Land and Biodiversity Conservation (DLWBC) and Office of Sustainability in SA Department of Environment and Heritage

NAP through the Centre for Natural Resource Management (CNRM)

Peter Hayman

• Collaborative project between SARDI, CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems and University of Western Australia
• Work with three sets of NRM decision makers (farmers, catchment authorities and conservation estate managers) to detail a range of specific climatically risky decisions
• Develop and apply a framework for thinking about uncertainty based on Bayesian revision and Real Options that enable NRM decision makers to better manage climate risk for the three case studies
• Evaluate the framework(s) and produce a manual on applying the framework(s) to any climate sensitive NRM decision

Managing Climate Variablity Program (MCVP)

Peter Hayman

• Collaborative project between SARDI, CSIRO Sustainable Ecosystems and University of Western Australia
• Work with three sets of NRM decision makers (farmers, catchment authorities and conservation estate managers) to detail a range of specific climatically risky decisions
• Develop and apply a framework for thinking about uncertainty based on Bayesian revision and Real Options that enable NRM decision makers to better manage climate risk for the three case studies
• Evaluate the framework(s) and produce a manual on applying the framework(s) to any climate sensitive NRM decision

Managing Climate Variablity Program (MCVP)

Peter Hayman